{"id":48501,"date":"2024-01-06T21:41:23","date_gmt":"2024-01-06T20:41:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lasentinelle.dz\/?p=48501"},"modified":"2024-01-06T21:41:27","modified_gmt":"2024-01-06T20:41:27","slug":"avis-de-tempete-sur-le-commerce-mondial","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lasentinelle.dz\/index.php\/2024\/01\/06\/avis-de-tempete-sur-le-commerce-mondial\/","title":{"rendered":"Avis de temp\u00eate sur le commerce mondial"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les prix du fret s\u2019envolent alors que les tensions en mer Rouge s\u2019aggravent<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

18 compagnies de transport maritime ont d\u00e9cid\u00e9 ces derni\u00e8res semaines d’emprunter une de d\u00e9tourner leurs navires de la mer Rouge, la principale route commerciale entre l\u2019Asie et la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e, alors que les tensions en mer Rouge montent, sur fonds d\u2019escalade du conflit induit par l\u2019agression isra\u00e9lienne contre Ghaza. Les prix du fret s\u2019envolent, et avec eux les inqui\u00e9tudes concernant les retomb\u00e9es du conflit non seulement sur la r\u00e9gion du Moyen-Orient, mais aussi sur le commerce international et par ricochet l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La persistance de l\u2019agression isra\u00e9lienne contre la Bande de Ghaza risque d\u2019avoir des cons\u00e9quences durables, sur la r\u00e9gion dans la mesure o\u00f9 l\u2019occupation sioniste cherche \u00e0 entra\u00eener plusieurs pays dans la r\u00e9gion, mais aussi sur l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale. Le fait est que l\u2019une des cons\u00e9quences du d\u00e9bordement du conflit en Palestine occup\u00e9e est l\u2019escalade des tensions en mer Rouge, laquelle escalade pousse les compagnies maritimes \u00e0 se d\u00e9tourner de cette route commerciale par laquelle transite 12% du commerce mondiale, mais qui est aussi la principale route de commerce en l\u2019Asie d\u2019une part et la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e et l\u2019Europe d\u2019autre part. Pas moins de 18 compagnies maritimes, la derni\u00e8re \u00e9tant le Danois Maersk, ont d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de d\u00e9tourner, vers la Cap de Bonne esp\u00e9rance, leurs navires devant passer par le d\u00e9troit strat\u00e9gique de Bab Al-Mandeb o\u00f9 les Houthis ont d\u00e9cid\u00e9 de lancer des attaques contre les navires isra\u00e9liens et ceux devant approvisionner l\u2019entit\u00e9 sioniste, tant que la guerre contre Ghaza se poursuivra. Une situation qui n\u2019est pas sans cons\u00e9quence et qui risque de cr\u00e9er de nouveaux goulots d\u2019\u00e9tranglement de la chaine d\u2019approvisionnement et d\u2019affecter une nouvelle le commerce mondial, d\u00e9j\u00e0 min\u00e9s par la pand\u00e9mie de covid-19 en 2020, les cons\u00e9quences du conflit en Ukraine en 2022 et le d\u00e9couplage des \u00e9changes dans le sillage de confrontation g\u00e9ostrat\u00e9gique en les USA et la Chine. Un avis de temp\u00eate sur le commerce mondial s\u2019annonce qui risque d\u2019avoir des cons\u00e9quences sur l\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale et d\u2019alimenter de nouvelles pressions inflationnistes dans un contexte de r\u00e9surgence des incertitudes \u00e9conomiques pour 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Les prix du fret ont doubl\u00e9<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u2019effet imm\u00e9diat de la situation est que celle-ci devrait engendrer des retards dans la livraison des marchandises en provenance d\u2019Asie vers les march\u00e9s de M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e et d\u2019Europe. Un retard estim\u00e9 entre 10 et 20 jours selon les acteurs du secteur. Un d\u00e9tour aussi qui affecte directement les prix du fret qui s\u2019envolent. A titre d\u2019exemple, CMA CGM, a doubl\u00e9 le prix d’un conteneur de 40 pieds entre l’Asie et la M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e de 3000 \u00e0 6000 dollars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En une semaine, les taux spot pour le fret sur le march\u00e9 entre Asie et M\u00e9diterran\u00e9e ont bondi de 70 % et de 80 % entre Asie et Europe et les niveaux ont plus que tripl\u00e9 depuis le d\u00e9but du mois.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le SCFI (Shanghai Containerized Freight Index), qui refl\u00e8te les prix au comptant pour le fret conteneuris\u00e9 de Shanghai vers une vingtaine de destinations dans le monde, s\u2019est emball\u00e9 dans la derni\u00e8re semaine de d\u00e9cembre, s’\u00e9levant \u00e0 1759,57 points le 29 d\u00e9cembre, contre 1254,99 une semaine auparavant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il a ainsi augment\u00e9 de 58,9 % par rapport \u00e0 la m\u00eame semaine de l\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re et de 77 % au cours des cinq derni\u00e8res semaines. Les march\u00e9s \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques ne sont pas en reste. Les cours du p\u00e9trole ont bondi vendredi dans le sillage des tensions. Le prix du baril de Brent de la mer du Nord pour livraison en mars a gagn\u00e9 1,50%, pour cl\u00f4turer \u00e0 78,76 dollars. Quant au West Texas Intermediate (WTI) am\u00e9ricain, il a pris 2,24%, \u00e0 73,81 dollars. Les prix du gaz ne sont pas encore affect\u00e9s par la situation, dans la mesure o\u00f9 le niveau de la demande en Europe min\u00e9e par un hiver doux limite les inqui\u00e9tudes concernant le rapport offre-demande sur les march\u00e9 spot. Ils cependant de l\u2019\u00eatre si les tensions persistent. Et cela sera le cas tant que la guerre \u00e0 Ghaza ne s\u2019arr\u00eatera pas. Il faut dire que pour r\u00e9pondre aux attaques des Houthis du Y\u00e9men soutenus par l\u2019Iran, les Etats-Unis ont mis en place une coalition militaire. Ce qui n\u2019a fait que faire de la mer Rouge un autre de terrain de confrontation entre Washington et son alli\u00e9 isra\u00e9lien d\u2019un part, et T\u00e9h\u00e9ran de l\u2019autre. Une confrontation qui alimente des foyers de tension en Irak, en Syrie, et au Liban. Le retour au calme dans la r\u00e9gion doit passer par un arr\u00eat des hostilit\u00e9s contre Ghaza. L\u2019ambassadeur chinois Geng Shuang a soulign\u00e9 mercredi lors de la r\u00e9union du Conseil de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de l\u2019ONU sur la mer Rouge que celles-ci \u00ab sont l\u2019une des manifestations des retomb\u00e9es du conflit \u00e0 Gaza \u00bb. \u00ab Ce n’est qu’en parvenant rapidement \u00e0 un cessez-le-feu \u00e0 Gaza et en att\u00e9nuant la crise humanitaire sur le terrain que nous pourrons \u00e9viter toute nouvelle escalade en mer Rouge et emp\u00eacher que d’autres r\u00e9gions du Moyen-Orient ne soient impliqu\u00e9es dans des conflits et des guerres \u00bb, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 le repr\u00e9sentant permanent de la Chine aupr\u00e8s de l’ONU.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lyes Saidi<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les prix du fret s\u2019envolent alors que les tensions en mer Rouge s\u2019aggravent 18 compagnies de transport maritime ont d\u00e9cid\u00e9<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":48502,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","_wpscppro_dont_share_socialmedia":false,"_wpscppro_custom_social_share_image":0,"_facebook_share_type":"","_twitter_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type":"","_pinterest_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type_page":"","_instagram_share_type":"","_medium_share_type":"","_threads_share_type":"","_google_business_share_type":"","_selected_social_profile":[],"_wpsp_enable_custom_social_template":false,"_wpsp_social_scheduling":{"enabled":false,"datetime":null,"platforms":[],"status":"template_only","dateOption":"today","timeOption":"now","customDays":"","customHours":"","customDate":"","customTime":"","schedulingType":"absolute"},"_wpsp_active_default_template":true},"categories":[52,27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48501","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-actualite"],"aioseo_notices":[],"yoast_head":"\nAvis de temp\u00eate sur le commerce mondial - 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