{"id":59048,"date":"2024-11-05T10:52:41","date_gmt":"2024-11-05T09:52:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lasentinelle.dz\/?p=59048"},"modified":"2024-11-05T10:52:42","modified_gmt":"2024-11-05T09:52:42","slug":"une-economie-resiliente","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lasentinelle.dz\/index.php\/2024\/11\/05\/une-economie-resiliente\/","title":{"rendered":"Une \u00e9conomie r\u00e9siliente"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Par Hakim Aomar<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le ministre des Finances, L\u00e2aziz Fa\u00efd a pr\u00e9sent\u00e9, hier, le projet de loi de finances 2025 devant les d\u00e9put\u00e9s de l\u2019Assembl\u00e9e populaire nationale (APN).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e2aziz Fayed, a \u00e9voqu\u00e9 dans sa pr\u00e9sentation, les principaux indicateurs macro\u00e9conomiques du pays. Des indicateurs au vert. Le premier argentier du pays mettra d\u2019ailleurs l\u2019accent sur la croissance du produit int\u00e9rieur brut (PIB) qui passera de 4,1% en 2023 \u00e0 4,4% \u00e0 la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e en cours (2024), alors que le PIB hors hydrocarbures atteindra les 4,7 % d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e courante contre 4,3% en 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Concernant la balance commerciale, le ministre a indiqu\u00e9 qu\u2019elle devrait enregistrer un exc\u00e9dent de 2,8 milliards de dollars, soit 1,1% du PIB, contre 6,4 milliards de dollars en 2023 soit 2,6% du PIB, expliquant que la valeur des exportations d\u2019hydrocarbures atteindra 43,73 milliards de dollars am\u00e9ricains en 2025, 43,49 milliards de dollars am\u00e9ricains en 2026 et 41,18 milliards de dollars am\u00e9ricains en 2027. Continuant dans le m\u00eame sens, le premier argentier du pays, les r\u00e9serves de change du pays sont pass\u00e9es de 69 milliards de dollars en 2023 \u00e0 72, 95 milliards de dollars en 2024, soit une hausse de 4%, ajoutant au passage que ce montant repr\u00e9sente l\u2019\u00e9quivalent de 16 mois d\u2019importations de marchandises et de services. Des indicateurs qui sous-tendent l\u2019optimisme du premier responsable du secteur des finances lequel a affirm\u00e9 que l’\u00e9conomie nationale continue de faire preuve de r\u00e9silience, en d\u00e9pit de la conjoncture internationale marqu\u00e9e par l’inflation, la faiblesse des \u00e9changes commerciaux et des investissements ainsi que des politiques mon\u00e9taires restrictives dominant la plupart des \u00e9conomies mondiales.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

L\u00e2aziz Fayed est revenu notamment sur la conjoncture particuli\u00e8re dans laquelle ce projet de loi a \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9labor\u00e9, soulignant que l’ann\u00e9e 2024 \u00e9tait une ann\u00e9e charni\u00e8re en raison de l’\u00e9ch\u00e9ance pr\u00e9sidentielle, qui marque le parach\u00e8vement des programmes du premier mandat pr\u00e9sidentiel et le d\u00e9but du programme du second mandat du Pr\u00e9sident de la R\u00e9publique, M. Abdelmadjid Tebboune.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Am\u00e9lioration du pouvoir d\u2019achat<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Il a pr\u00e9cis\u00e9, \u00e9galement, que ce projet vient cl\u00f4turer une phase caract\u00e9ris\u00e9e par des d\u00e9fis budg\u00e9taires majeurs, notamment en lien avec la gestion de la pand\u00e9mie de Covid-19 et la concr\u00e9tisation des engagements importants pris dans le cadre du programme de rattrapage du Pr\u00e9sident de la R\u00e9publique, relevant \u00e0 ce propos l’am\u00e9lioration du pouvoir d’achat des citoyens \u00e0 travers l’exon\u00e9ration de l’imp\u00f4t sur le revenu global (IRG), la r\u00e9vision du salaire national minimum garanti (SNMG), l’augmentation du point indiciaire, le d\u00e9gel des promotions dans la fonction publique, l’instauration de l’allocation ch\u00f4mage, ainsi que la r\u00e9vision des pensions de retraite. Il a rappel\u00e9, dans ce contexte, la lev\u00e9e du gel sur les projets d’investissement \u00e0 l’arr\u00eat depuis 2014, la mobilisation des ressources financi\u00e8res n\u00e9cessaires \u00e0 la cr\u00e9ation de dix nouvelles wilayas dans le Sud, ainsi que la cr\u00e9ation de plus de 347.593 postes d’emploi dans la fonction publique durant la p\u00e9riode 2020-2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le ministre a soutenu que le projet de loi de fiances 2025 avait \u00e9t\u00e9 \u00e9labor\u00e9 dans un contexte marqu\u00e9 par la hausse du taux d’inflation dans la plupart des \u00e9conomies mondiales, la persistance des tensions g\u00e9opolitiques et des politiques mon\u00e9taires restrictives, le durcissement des conditions financi\u00e8res et la faiblesse des \u00e9changes commerciaux et des investissements, outre les catastrophes climatiques.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cependant, poursuit le ministre, l’\u00e9conomie alg\u00e9rienne continue de faire preuve de r\u00e9silience, en d\u00e9pit de tous ces risques, et ce \u00e0 travers l’am\u00e9lioration des indicateurs macro\u00e9conomiques, notamment la poursuite de la croissance soutenue, \u00e0 travers l’activit\u00e9 enregistr\u00e9e hors-hydrocarbures, l’exc\u00e9dent de la balance des paiements et l’accumulation des r\u00e9serves de change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Le ministre a, par ailleurs, mis l’accent sur la poursuite de la r\u00e9alisation des grands projets inscrits dans la nomenclature des investissements publics, soulignant les efforts consentis \u00e0 travers l’\u00e9volution des d\u00e9penses budg\u00e9taires, passant de 7820 milliards de DA en 2020 \u00e0 15275 milliards de DA en 2024, ce qui a permis, selon lui, de r\u00e9unir les conditions pour r\u00e9aliser un taux de croissance de 4,4 % (selon les pr\u00e9visions de cl\u00f4ture de l’exercice 2024).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pour maintenir cette dynamique, les pouvoirs publics poursuivent le suivi des mesures prises ces cinq derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es visant \u00e0 mobiliser des ressources suppl\u00e9mentaires pour soutenir le d\u00e9veloppement socio-\u00e9conomique du pays, diversifier l’\u00e9conomie \u00e0 travers l’appui \u00e0 l’investissement et la promotion des diff\u00e9rentes initiatives, relancer les grands projets structurants et r\u00e9soudre le probl\u00e8me de p\u00e9nurie d’eau en assurant l’approvisionnement en eau potable. L’Etat poursuit \u00e9galement ses efforts pour r\u00e9sorber le d\u00e9ficit en infrastructures de base, s\u00e9curiser les r\u00e9seaux de communication, promouvoir la transition \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique, num\u00e9riser les services publics et soutenir l’\u00e9conomie de la connaissance, tout en mobilisant des ressources fiscales suppl\u00e9mentaires en fonction des capacit\u00e9s contributives de chaque contribuable, sans toutefois augmenter la pression fiscale, \u00e0 travers l’\u00e9largissement de l’assiette fiscale et la lutte contre la fraude et l’\u00e9vasion fiscales. Le ministre a affirm\u00e9 que l’indicateur le plus significatif du comportement de l’\u00e9conomie nationale \u00e9tait la valeur du PIB nominal de l’Alg\u00e9rie, estim\u00e9 \u00e0 266,8 milliards de dollars en 2023, ce qui lui a permis de se classer troisi\u00e8me en Afrique, apr\u00e8s l’Afrique du Sud et l’Egypte. Dans ce sillage, le ministre des Finances a r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9 que la valeur des cr\u00e9dits allou\u00e9s \u00e0 l’\u00e9conomie avait atteint 10695 milliards de DA \u00e0 la fin d\u00e9cembre 2023, contre 10112 milliards de DA en 2022, soit une hausse de 5,8 %. Le total des cr\u00e9dits allou\u00e9s au secteur public s’est \u00e9tabli \u00e0 4458 milliards de DA \u00e0 fin 2023, contre 4350 milliards de DA \u00e0 fin 2022, soit une hausse de 2,5 %. Concernant les cr\u00e9dits allou\u00e9s au secteur priv\u00e9, ils ont nettement augment\u00e9 de 8,2 % \u00e0 fin 2023, atteignant 6236 milliards de DA contre 5762 milliards de DA \u00e0 fin 2022, portant leur part \u00e0 58 % du total des cr\u00e9dits \u00e0 la fin de l’ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Principaux indicateurs du cadrage macro\u00e9conomique et budg\u00e9taire du projet de loi de finances <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Le prix de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence fiscal du baril de p\u00e9trole brut retenu est de 60 dollars sur la p\u00e9riode 2025-2027<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Le prix de march\u00e9 du baril de p\u00e9trole brut est \u00e0 70 dollars sur la p\u00e9riode 2025-2027<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-La croissance \u00e9conomique atteindra 4,5% (2025 et 2026) et la croissance hors hydrocarbures serait de 5% en 2025<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Le produit int\u00e9rieur brut (PIB) devrait se situer \u00e0 37.863 milliards de DA (278,71 milliards dollars)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Les exportations de biens atteindraient 50,9 milliards de dollars<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Les importations de biens devraient se situer \u00e0 46,07 milliards de dollars<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-La balance commerciale devrait enregistrer un exc\u00e9dent 4,83 milliards de dollars<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-La balance des paiements devrait r\u00e9aliser un exc\u00e9dent de 1,17 milliard de dollars<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-L’encours des r\u00e9serves de change atteindrait 72,95 milliards de dollars, repr\u00e9sentant 16 mois d’importations de biens et services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Les recettes budg\u00e9taires devraient s’am\u00e9liorer de 3,5% pour atteindre 8.523,06 milliards DA<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-La fiscalit\u00e9 p\u00e9troli\u00e8re s’\u00e9tablirait \u00e0 3.453,96 milliards DA<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Les d\u00e9penses budg\u00e9taires augmenteraient de 9,9% \u00e0 16.794,61 milliards DA<\/p>\n\n\n\n

-Le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire passerait \u00e0 8.271,55 milliards DA.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Par Hakim Aomar Le ministre des Finances, L\u00e2aziz Fa\u00efd a pr\u00e9sent\u00e9, hier, le projet de loi de finances 2025 devant<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":59049,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","_wpscppro_dont_share_socialmedia":false,"_wpscppro_custom_social_share_image":0,"_facebook_share_type":"default","_twitter_share_type":"default","_linkedin_share_type":"default","_pinterest_share_type":"default","_linkedin_share_type_page":"","_instagram_share_type":"default","_medium_share_type":"default","_threads_share_type":"","_google_business_share_type":"","_selected_social_profile":[],"_wpsp_enable_custom_social_template":false,"_wpsp_social_scheduling":{"enabled":false,"datetime":null,"platforms":[],"status":"template_only","dateOption":"today","timeOption":"now","customDays":"","customHours":"","customDate":"","customTime":"","schedulingType":"absolute"},"_wpsp_active_default_template":true},"categories":[52,27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-59048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-a-la-une","category-actualite"],"aioseo_notices":[],"yoast_head":"\nUne \u00e9conomie r\u00e9siliente - 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