{"id":64622,"date":"2025-03-20T10:51:04","date_gmt":"2025-03-20T09:51:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lasentinelle.dz\/?p=64622"},"modified":"2025-03-22T10:52:56","modified_gmt":"2025-03-22T09:52:56","slug":"petrole-wood-mackenzie-table-sur-un-baril-a-73-dollars-en-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lasentinelle.dz\/index.php\/2025\/03\/20\/petrole-wood-mackenzie-table-sur-un-baril-a-73-dollars-en-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u00e9trole: Wood Mackenzie table sur un baril \u00e0 73 dollars en 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Les prix du baril de Brent devraient atteindre une moyenne de 73 dollars en 2025, enregistrant une baisse de 7 dollars par rapport \u00e0 l\u2019ann\u00e9e pr\u00e9c\u00e9dente, selon les derni\u00e8res pr\u00e9visions mensuelles du fournisseur de donn\u00e9es sur la transition \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique Wood Mackenzie. Cette estimation r\u00e9vis\u00e9e \u00e0 la baisse de 0,40 dollar par rapport aux projections de f\u00e9vrier s\u2019explique principalement par deux facteurs cl\u00e9s : les d\u00e9cisions de production de l\u2019OPEP+ et les politiques tarifaires des \u00c9tats-Unis. L\u2019OPEP+ envisage une augmentation progressive de sa production \u00e0 partir d\u2019avril 2025, avec des hausses mensuelles jusqu\u2019en septembre 2026. Toutefois, tout retard dans l\u2019application de cette strat\u00e9gie pourrait soutenir les prix et att\u00e9nuer l\u2019impact des nouveaux tarifs am\u00e9ricains, souligne la m\u00eame source. La consommation mondiale de p\u00e9trole devrait augmenter de 1,1 million de barils par jour en 2025, mais cette progression pourrait \u00eatre surpass\u00e9e par la croissance de la production hors OPEP, estim\u00e9e \u00e0 1,4 million de barils par jour, exer\u00e7ant ainsi une pression baissi\u00e8re sur les prix, ajoute-on. L\u2019augmentation de la production non-OPEP proviendra principalement de projets conventionnels, moins sensibles aux fluctuations des prix. Parall\u00e8lement, la croissance \u00e9conomique mondiale est attendue \u00e0 2,8 % en 2025, mais pourrait \u00eatre r\u00e9vis\u00e9e \u00e0 la baisse en raison des tensions commerciales. Un ralentissement du PIB pourrait entra\u00eener une r\u00e9duction de la demande p\u00e9troli\u00e8re d\u2019environ 0,4 million de barils par jour, modifiant la trajectoire de la demande pour 2025 et limitant la marge de man\u0153uvre de l\u2019OPEP+ dans son projet d\u2019augmentation de l\u2019offre. Ces pr\u00e9visions restent sujettes \u00e0 des ajustements en fonction de l\u2019\u00e9volution des conditions \u00e9conomiques mondiales, des politiques commerciales et des d\u00e9cisions de l\u2019OPEP+. Toute modification des strat\u00e9gies de production de l\u2019organisation pourrait jouer un r\u00f4le d\u00e9cisif dans le soutien des prix, notamment si les politiques tarifaires am\u00e9ricaines se durcissent, souligne Wood Mackenzie. L\u2019impact potentiel de ces hausses de tarifs pourrait contrebalancer les pressions haussi\u00e8res sur les prix si la demande mondiale s\u2019av\u00e9rait inf\u00e9rieure aux attentes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Samira Ghrib<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les prix du baril de Brent devraient atteindre une moyenne de 73 dollars en 2025, enregistrant une baisse de 7<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":32324,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","_wpscppro_dont_share_socialmedia":false,"_wpscppro_custom_social_share_image":0,"_facebook_share_type":"default","_twitter_share_type":"default","_linkedin_share_type":"default","_pinterest_share_type":"default","_linkedin_share_type_page":"","_instagram_share_type":"default","_medium_share_type":"default","_threads_share_type":"","_google_business_share_type":"","_selected_social_profile":[],"_wpsp_enable_custom_social_template":false,"_wpsp_social_scheduling":{"enabled":false,"datetime":null,"platforms":[],"status":"template_only","dateOption":"today","timeOption":"now","customDays":"","customHours":"","customDate":"","customTime":"","schedulingType":"absolute"},"_wpsp_active_default_template":true},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-64622","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie"],"aioseo_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - 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